Who actually gets the future right?
FutureLedger tracks public predictions and scores them against reality — giving everyone a clear, unbiased view of forecasting accuracy.
Figure of the week
No accuracy score yet · 2 new predictions this month
Trending figures
Figures with the most new predictions and resolutions in the last 30 days.
| Figure | Accuracy | New predictions | New resolutions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Altman | — | 10 | 0 |
| International Monetary Fund | — | 7 | 0 |
| Paul Tudor Jones | — | 4 | 0 |
| Ray Dalio | — | 2 | 0 |
Top figures
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Top topics
- AI — 6 predictions
- AGI — 2 predictions
- DeFi — 1 predictions
- Automation — 1 predictions
Recent predictions
- Society may experience deflation driven by AI abundance where living standards improve while traditional economic metrics like GDP decline. — Sam Altman
- Entire companies could eventually operate with very small human teams supervising large fleets of AI agents. — Sam Altman
- Competitive advantage in AI will shift away from algorithms and toward physical infrastructure, access to massive training data, and system integration at scale. — Sam Altman
- By around 2028, the total computational cognitive capacity inside data centers might exceed that of the human population. — Sam Altman
- Future AI systems could run autonomous projects lasting weeks, continuously working with full organizational context, functioning less like chatbots and more like digital employees that never log off. — Sam Altman
Recently resolved outcomes
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