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| International Monetary Fund |
| 10/13/2026 |
| unresolved |
| Hedge funds' growing holdings of Treasuries leave the market susceptible to a disorderly unwind. | International Monetary Fund | 10/13/2026 | unresolved |
| Global public debt will soon exceed 100% of GDP. | International Monetary Fund | 10/13/2026 | unresolved |
| Sovereign bond risk could deteriorate with a sharp rise in sovereign bond yields. | International Monetary Fund | 10/13/2026 | unresolved |
| Government bond yields could rise in a disorderly fashion due to rising inflation, mounting debt and AI-related borrowings. | International Monetary Fund | 10/13/2026 | unresolved |
| The US faces a potential debt crisis in three years. | Ray Dalio | 10/6/2026 | unresolved |
| The US Treasury market is vulnerable to a pullback of demand from China and Japan. | Ray Dalio | 10/6/2026 | unresolved |
| If we don't have models by 2030 that are extraordinarily capable and do things that we ourselves cannot do, I'd be very surprised. | Sam Altman | 8/4/2026 | unresolved |
| 30 to 40 percent of the tasks that happen in the economy today will get done by AI in the not very distant future. | Sam Altman | Tech → Automation | 8/4/2026 | unresolved |
| If by 2030 AI systems cannot perform tasks beyond human ability, I would be very surprised. | Sam Altman | AI → AGI | 8/4/2026 | unresolved |
| Society may experience deflation driven by AI abundance where living standards improve while traditional economic metrics like GDP decline. | Sam Altman | AI | 3/14/2026 | unresolved |
| Entire companies could eventually operate with very small human teams supervising large fleets of AI agents. | Sam Altman | 3/14/2026 | unresolved |
| Competitive advantage in AI will shift away from algorithms and toward physical infrastructure, access to massive training data, and system integration at scale. | Sam Altman | AI | 3/14/2026 | unresolved |
| By around 2028, the total computational cognitive capacity inside data centers might exceed that of the human population. | Sam Altman | 3/14/2026 | unresolved |