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Domain difficulty is the average accuracy score across every figure with a resolved prediction in that topic — lower means the topic is harder to call correctly. The heatmap shades harder topics darker.
| Topic | Difficulty ▼ | Predictions | Figures |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI | — | 6 | 0 |
| DeFi | — | 1 | 0 |
| AGI | — | 2 | 0 |
| Automation | — | 1 | 0 |
| Stablecoins | — | 0 | 0 |
| Inflation | — | 0 | 0 |
| AI alignment | — | 0 | 0 |
| Software | — | 0 | 0 |
| Crypto | — | 0 | 0 |
| AI economics | — | 0 | 0 |
| Markets | — | 0 | 0 |
| AI safety | — | 0 | 0 |
| Commodities | — | 0 | 0 |
| Monetary policy | — | 0 | 0 |
| Robotics | — | 0 | 0 |
| Governance | — | 0 | 0 |
| Innovation cycles | — | 0 | 0 |
| Digital rights | — | 0 | 0 |
| Adoption | — | 0 | 0 |
| Ethereum | — | 0 | 0 |
| Recession risk | — | 0 | 0 |
| AI capabilities | — | 0 | 0 |
| Regulation | — | 0 | 0 |
| Emissions | — | 0 | 0 |
| Bitcoin | — | 0 | 0 |
| Fiscal policy | — | 0 | 0 |
| Safety standards | — | 0 | 0 |
| Sanctions | — | 0 | 0 |
| Climate policy | — | 0 | 0 |
| Economics | — | 0 | 0 |
| US–China relations | — | 0 | 0 |
| AI timelines | — | 0 | 0 |
| Biotech | — | 0 | 0 |
| Interest rates | — | 0 | 0 |
| Carbon markets | — | 0 | 0 |
| Climate | — | 0 | 0 |
| AI regulation | — | 0 | 0 |
| Trade | — | 0 | 0 |
| AI governance | — | 0 | 0 |
| Labor markets | — | 0 | 0 |
| Global alliances | — | 0 | 0 |
| Equities | — | 0 | 0 |
| Tech | — | 0 | 0 |
| EV adoption | — | 0 | 0 |
| Crypto regulation | — | 0 | 0 |
| Clean energy | — | 0 | 0 |
| Hardware | — | 0 | 0 |
| Privacy | — | 0 | 0 |
| Public health | — | 0 | 0 |
| Tech stocks | — | 0 | 0 |
| Bonds | — | 0 | 0 |
| Elections | — | 0 | 0 |
| Market cycles | — | 0 | 0 |
| Defense | — | 0 | 0 |
| GDP growth | — | 0 | 0 |
| Policy | — | 0 | 0 |
| Geopolitics | — | 0 | 0 |
| Extreme weather | — | 0 | 0 |